Next 24 hours — model comparison3 models · 24-hour peak table
Model
Peak PM2.5
Peak around
HRRR-Smoke (NOAA, 3 km)
3 µg/m³
Oct 15, 10:00AM
FireWork (ECCC)
8 µg/m³
Oct 15, 6:00PM
FireSmoke (UBC BlueSky)
8 µg/m³
Oct 15, 3:00PM
Model values are for the nearest forecast grid cell to Pendleton;
FireSmoke, FireWork and HRRR are independent and often disagree — treat the highest available value
as the cautious planning number.
Observations and NowCast are total PM2.5 — wildfire smoke plus every other source — as regulatory monitors measure it, and FireWork models that same total. FireSmoke and HRRR-Smoke estimate the wildfire contribution only, so they read lower than the monitors whenever other sources matter. The optional map plume surfaces are likewise fires-only.
Sky vs. ground
Little smoke at the surface or overhead.
Sky right now
Clear sky
● At the ground
· ● Overhead (if mixed down)
Overhead smoke dims the sun but is not what you breathe. The dashed line shows the surface level if the whole column mixed through the boundary layer — a worst case, not a forecast · Data: NOAA HRRR-Smoke; cloud cover is from the model, not observed
No not contained fires are reported in this state.
Partially contained0 fires
No partially contained fires are reported in this state.
Mostly contained (70%+)17 fires
North Cayuse
15 mi away · 4,887 acres · 97% contained · reported 2026-10-13 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)
Hatch Grade
25 mi away · 9,584 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-12 · WA
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)
Hagen
25 mi away · 61,380 acres · 99% contained · reported 2026-10-13 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)
Paradise
45 mi away · 9,656 acres · 86% contained · reported 2026-10-13 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)
SECOND STREET
52 mi away · 1,149 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-13 · WA
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)
Anthony
55 mi away · 2,584 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-14 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)
McCully
63 mi away · 13,604 acres · 91% contained · reported 2026-10-14 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)
Salmon
67 mi away · 1,433 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-04 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)
0489 PARRISH
83 mi away · 404 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-02 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)
0446 CAMEL HUMP
88 mi away · 6,789 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-02 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)
0450 COVE CREEK
91 mi away · 7,208 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-02 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)
0445 CROSSWHITE
91 mi away · 342,923 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-02 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)
0444 TWICKENHAM
93 mi away · 254 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-02 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)
0442 REDROCK
93 mi away · 256 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-02 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)
0502
94 mi away · 1,816 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-02 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)
ROWE CREEK COMPLEX
95 mi away · 373,928 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-02 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)
0501 PAT'S CABIN
100 mi away · 772 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-02 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)
Other status7 fires
Wildhorse Road
18 mi away · 25 acres · reported 2026-10-07 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Containment not reported
Dorran Road
22 mi away · 200 acres · reported 2026-10-06 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Containment not reported
Big Rock
36 mi away · 0 acres · reported 2026-10-14 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Containment not reported
Robbs Hill
36 mi away · 0 acres · reported 2026-10-12 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Containment not reported
Case Ridge
49 mi away · 1 acres · reported 2026-10-13 · OR
distance measured to the incident point
Containment not reported
Whiskey Creek
51 mi away · 120 acres · reported 2026-10-01 · WA
distance measured to the incident point
Containment not reported
Columbia Center Mutual Aid
77 mi away · 150 acres · reported 2026-10-14 · WA
distance measured to the incident point
Containment not reported
Proximity and wind direction do not prove that a fire caused smoke at this location. Source: National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC); incident points and containment as reported by the responsible agencies.
Forecast track record here
29-day record · 3 nearby monitors
Model
Typical error
Tendency
FireWork
2.9 µg/m³
reads high 0.5
HRRR-Smoke
3.9 µg/m³
reads low 3.9
FireSmoke
4.5 µg/m³
reads low 2.8
Mean absolute error and average tendency in µg/m³, from forecasts verified 0–6 hours ahead at monitors within 50 km. A short-range record, not a measure of how far ahead a model stays reliable. FireSmoke and HRRR model wildfire smoke only, so they read below the monitors whenever other sources of PM2.5 matter.