Omak, Washington — Wildfire Smoke Forecast

Live PM_2.5 and 48-hour smoke-model outlook — updated Oct 14, 5:38PM PDT

Current air quality and forecast

Now · observedGood 1 µg/m³ NowCast median across 3 monitors in Okanogan Valley · range 0–2, highest at Brewster

Next 48 hoursModerate 0–12 µg/m³ · 3 models

Forecast peak12 µg/m³Oct 16, 1:00AM · FireSmoke

No significant smoke is expected in the next 48 hours.

Air quality is good — ideal for outdoor activities.

Last 24 hours across Okanogan Valley & next 48 hours forecast

range across monitors

Background bands (US EPA AQI, 24-h basis): ■ Good · ■ Moderate

Forecast

Next 6 hours

0–4 µg/m³

Peak around Oct 14, 8:00PM

Next 12 hours

0–4 µg/m³

Peak around Oct 14, 8:00PM

Next 24 hours

0–4 µg/m³

Peak around Oct 14, 8:00PM

Next 48 hours

0–12 µg/m³

Peak around Oct 16, 1:00AM

Next 24 hours — model comparison 3 models · 24-hour peak table

Model	Peak PM2.5	Peak around
HRRR-Smoke (NOAA, 3 km)	0 µg/m³	Oct 15, 10:00AM
FireWork (ECCC)	4 µg/m³	Oct 14, 8:00PM
FireSmoke (UBC BlueSky)	2 µg/m³	Oct 15, 4:00PM

Model values are for the nearest forecast grid cell to Omak; FireSmoke, FireWork and HRRR are independent and often disagree — treat the highest available value as the cautious planning number.

Observations and NowCast are total PM_2.5 — wildfire smoke plus every other source — as regulatory monitors measure it, and FireWork models that same total. FireSmoke and HRRR-Smoke estimate the wildfire contribution only, so they read lower than the monitors whenever other sources matter. The optional map plume surfaces are likewise fires-only.

Sky vs. ground

Little smoke at the surface or overhead.

Sky right now

Clear sky

● At the ground · ● Overhead (if mixed down)

Overhead smoke dims the sun but is not what you breathe. The dashed line shows the surface level if the whole column mixed through the boundary layer — a worst case, not a forecast · Data: NOAA HRRR-Smoke; cloud cover is from the model, not observed

Nearby fires

100 mi radius

Within 100 mi, agencies report 2 Partially contained · 10 Mostly contained (70%+) · 1 Other.

Not contained0 fires

No not contained fires are reported in this state.

Partially contained2 fires

SISI

60 mi away · 4,615 acres · 34% contained · reported 2026-10-13 · WA

distance measured to the incident point

Partially contained

Luna

82 mi away · 8,553 acres · 42% contained · reported 2026-10-11 · WA

distance measured to the incident point

Partially contained

Mostly contained (70%+)10 fires

SINLAHEKIN

22 mi away · 166,007 acres · 99% contained · reported 2026-10-07 · WA

distance measured to the incident point

Mostly contained (70%+)

Kaiser Canyon

33 mi away · 138,293 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-13 · WA

distance measured to the incident point

Mostly contained (70%+)

Modrite

61 mi away · 57,594 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-13 · WA

distance measured to the incident point

Mostly contained (70%+)

PTARMIGAN

62 mi away · 25,566 acres · 90% contained · reported 2026-10-08 · WA

distance measured to the incident point

Mostly contained (70%+)

BRADEEN HILL

65 mi away · 4,417 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-08 · WA

distance measured to the incident point

Mostly contained (70%+)

LITTLE GIANT

67 mi away · 172,912 acres · 95% contained · reported 2026-10-13 · WA

distance measured to the incident point

Mostly contained (70%+)

HUDSPETH

67 mi away · 6,726 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-10 · WA

distance measured to the incident point

Mostly contained (70%+)

HILL LOOP

74 mi away · 127 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-09 · WA

distance measured to the incident point

Mostly contained (70%+)

Border 2

80 mi away · 9,108 acres · 74% contained · reported 2026-10-11 · WA

distance measured to the incident point

Mostly contained (70%+)

Electric

89 mi away · 495 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-10 · WA

distance measured to the incident point

Mostly contained (70%+)

Other status1 fire

ANCIENT LAKES

89 mi away · 15 acres · reported 2026-10-11 · WA

distance measured to the incident point

Containment not reported

Proximity and wind direction do not prove that a fire caused smoke at this location. Source: National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC); incident points and containment as reported by the responsible agencies.

Forecast track record here

29-day record · 5 nearby monitors

Model	Typical error	Tendency
FireWork	1.9 µg/m³	reads low 0.8
HRRR-Smoke	3.5 µg/m³	reads low 3.1
FireSmoke	24.3 µg/m³	reads high 19.3

Mean absolute error and average tendency in µg/m³, from forecasts verified 0–6 hours ahead at monitors within 50 km. A short-range record, not a measure of how far ahead a model stays reliable. FireSmoke and HRRR model wildfire smoke only, so they read below the monitors whenever other sources of PM2.5 matter.

Monitors in Okanogan Valley

Brewster2 µg/m³ NowCast24 mi · Washington Department of Ecology Tonasket1 µg/m³ NowCast21 mi · Washington Department of Ecology Omak-Colville Tribe0 µg/m³ NowCast0.9 mi · Washington Department of Ecology Nespelem– NowCast31 mi · Confederated Tribes of Colville Reservation

See the Washington-wide forecast — every monitor, ranked →

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