WildfireSmokeUSA

Baton Rouge, Louisiana — Wildfire Smoke Forecast

Live PM2.5 and 48-hour smoke-model outlook — updated Oct 14, 7:38PM CDT

Current air quality and forecast

Now · observedModerate 11 µg/m³ NowCast · latest 10 µg/m³ at Capitol
Next 48 hoursUnhealthy for Sensitive Groups 4–41 µg/m³ · 2 models
Forecast peak41 µg/m³Oct 15, 7:00AM · FireWork

Smoke is expected to arrive around Oct 15, 6:00AM and clear by about Oct 15, 12:00PM.

Unusually sensitive people should consider reducing prolonged outdoor exertion.

Last 24 hours observed & next 48 hours forecast

44220now−24 h+24 h+48 hµg/m³

Background bands (US EPA AQI, 24-h basis): ■ Good · ■ Moderate · ■ Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups

Forecast

Next 6 hours
4–24 µg/m³
Peak around Oct 15, 2:00AM
Next 12 hours
4–41 µg/m³
Peak around Oct 15, 7:00AM
Next 24 hours
4–41 µg/m³
Peak around Oct 15, 7:00AM
Next 48 hours
4–41 µg/m³
Peak around Oct 15, 7:00AM
Next 24 hours — model comparison 2 models · 24-hour peak table
ModelPeak PM2.5Peak around
HRRR-Smoke (NOAA, 3 km)4 µg/m³Oct 15, 5:00AM
FireWork (ECCC)41 µg/m³Oct 15, 7:00AM

Model values are for the nearest forecast grid cell to Baton Rouge; FireSmoke, FireWork and HRRR are independent and often disagree — treat the highest available value as the cautious planning number.

Observations and NowCast are total PM2.5 — wildfire smoke plus every other source — as regulatory monitors measure it, and FireWork models that same total. FireSmoke and HRRR-Smoke estimate the wildfire contribution only, so they read lower than the monitors whenever other sources matter. The optional map plume surfaces are likewise fires-only.

Sky vs. ground

Little smoke at the surface or overhead.

Sky right now
Clear sky

● At the ground · ● Overhead (if mixed down)

011211:00AM7:00AMµg/m³

Overhead smoke dims the sun but is not what you breathe. The dashed line shows the surface level if the whole column mixed through the boundary layer — a worst case, not a forecast · Data: NOAA HRRR-Smoke; cloud cover is from the model, not observed

Nearby fires

100 mi radius

Within 100 mi, agencies report 2 Mostly contained (70%+).

Not contained0 fires

No not contained fires are reported in this state.

Partially contained0 fires

No partially contained fires are reported in this state.

Mostly contained (70%+)2 fires
Amite - Ewell Rd. Centreville
45 mi away · 150 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-01 · MS
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)
Amite Kahnville Rd
51 mi away · 190 acres · 100% contained · reported 2026-10-09 · MS
distance measured to the incident point
Mostly contained (70%+)

Proximity and wind direction do not prove that a fire caused smoke at this location. Source: National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC); incident points and containment as reported by the responsible agencies.

Forecast track record here

29-day record · 2 nearby monitors

ModelTypical errorTendency
FireWork6.8 µg/m³reads high 4.7
HRRR-Smoke7.3 µg/m³reads low 7.2

Mean absolute error and average tendency in µg/m³, from forecasts verified 0–6 hours ahead at monitors within 50 km. A short-range record, not a measure of how far ahead a model stays reliable. FireSmoke and HRRR model wildfire smoke only, so they read below the monitors whenever other sources of PM2.5 matter.

Nearest monitoring stations

See the Louisiana-wide forecast — every monitor, ranked →

More in Louisiana: New Orleans · Shreveport